Buying guide

Interest rate predictions 2026

Make informed decisions

Ben Tutty
Last updated: 23 December 2025 | 10 min read
Interest rate predicitons - 1 year fixed rates
Bank 2026 %2027 %
ANZANZ4.7 (June)4.7 (June)5.2 (June)5.2 (June)
ASBASBRemaining near current levelsRemaining near current levelsMay rise as economy improvesMay rise as economy improves
BNZBNZFlat or increasingFlat or increasingIncreasingIncreasing
KiwibankKiwibankPlateauing or increasing Plateauing or increasing IncreasingIncreasing
WestpacWestpacIncreasingIncreasingIncreasingIncreasing

Our summary of interest rate predictions from the experts

ANZ

Westpac

ASB

BNZ

Kiwibank

A note about advertised interest rates*

Official cash rate predictions 2025 and 2026

Sources: Bank reports

Our summary of OCR forecasts

The million dollar question: How long should I fix my mortgage?

Opes Partners say the 1 year rate is a great option

Gareth Kiernan at Infometrics argues for shorter term fixes *with a caveat

New Zealand's biggest bank says interest rates are headed downard.

Tony Alexander reckons the three year is the rate

Nicole Pervan, GM of home lending at Kiwibank says it’s all about you

Jarrod Kerr, Chief Economist at Kiwibank, recommends splitting:

Consider break even analysis

The Reserve Bank plays a big part in influencing retail interest rates.

Get expert advice first

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Ben Tutty Ben Tutty