Feature article

Property value upturn remains elusive for now

The numbers show a market that is steady but not surging.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 8 December 2025 | 3 min read
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AI summary

New Zealand's property market recovery remains stalled, with the Cotality Home Value Index holding flat. Chief Property Economist Kelvin Davidson notes that while sentiment is improving, price growth is being held back by:

- High stock levels giving buyers pricing power

- A cautious labour market impacting job security

Regionally, Auckland's values fell -0.2%, while cities like Hamilton, Tauranga, and Christchurch saw modest increases. A cautious outlook predicts modest house price growth in 2026, potentially capped by debt-to-income limits.

The national picture

A region-by-region breakdown

Why aren't prices rising faster?

Looking ahead to 2026

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality