Feature article

Property values drift down -0.4% as the market enters a holding pattern

Will house prices crash or surge? Neither likely.

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 16 September 2026 | 3 min read
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New Zealand's property market is in a holding pattern, not a renewed slump, according to Cotality. The Home Value Index saw a minor -0.4% dip in August, part of a slow downwards drift with national values down only 1% annually.

While Auckland and Wellington are seeing slight falls, centres like Christchurch and Queenstown show resilience. Improved affordability for buyers is offset by economic fragility and election uncertainty, meaning a significant shift isn't expected until the labour market improves.

A downwards drift, not a renewed slump

Main centres split as regional resilience shines

Improved affordability, but no boom in sight

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality