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The year of conflicting forces

Where to next for the NZ housing market?

Kelvin Davidson
Last updated: 14 August 2025 | 4 min read
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AI summary

According to CoreLogic's Kelvin Davidson, the NZ housing market remains subdued due to conflicting forces. Positive factors like easing listings and active first home buyers are being offset by a weak economy, resulting in broadly flat property values nationally.

The outlook is for continued stability rather than a sharp rebound. This presents opportunities for buyers before a potential economic recovery fuels stronger market growth in 2026, making the current period a strategic time for purchasers.

A flat market, as predicted

Tailwinds: what’s supporting the market?

Headwinds: what’s holding the market back?

The outlook: stability now, stronger growth later

Author

Kelvin Davidson Kelvin Davidson
Chief Property Economist, Cotality